Based on Francisco Álvarez’s historical performance, we can project his potential stats for the 2025 season. Looking at his MLB career so far, he has played in 228 games across three seasons, posting a .221 batting average, .294 OBP, and .423 slugging percentage, with 37 home runs and 111 RBIs.
Francisco Alvarez – Baseball-Reference
Here’s a comparison of his key stats for 2023 vs 2024.
- Games Played (G): 123 in 2023 → 100 in 2024
- Plate Appearances (PA): 423 in 2023 → 342 in 2024
- Batting Average (BA): .209 in 2023 → .237 in 2024
- On-Base Percentage (OBP): .284 in 2023 → .307 in 2024
- Slugging Percentage (SLG): .437 in 2023 → .403 in 2024
- Home Runs (HR): 25 in 2023 → 11 in 2024
- Runs Batted In (RBI): 63 in 2023 → 47 in 2024
- Strikeouts (SO): 110 in 2023 → 86 in 2024
- Walks (BB): 34 in 2023 → 30 in 2024
- OPS+ (Adjusted OPS): 96 in 2023 → 101 in 2024
Some key takeaways from 2023 compared to last year jump out. His batting average and on-base percentage improved, indicating better plate discipline and possibly a more contact-focused approach. While his slugging percentage and home runs decreased during that time, his OPS+ slightly increased.
Overall, Álvarez made strides in his contact and plate discipline while sacrificing some power. It will be interesting to see whether his offseason work improving his hitting will pay off in 2025.
The following is what we project his 2025 stats will be based on his career trajectory so far and expected growth as a young power-hitting catcher:
- Games: ~130-140
- Plate Appearances: ~500-550
- Batting Average: .230-.250
- On-Base Percentage (OBP): .310-.330
- Slugging Percentage (SLG): .440-.470
- Home Runs: 25-30
- RBIs: 70-85
- Strikeouts: ~130-140
- Walks: ~45-50
These numbers assume continued development, maintaining his power while improving his plate discipline. If he takes a significant leap in his contact ability, he could exceed these projections. Here at All Things Mets, we’re excited to see how 2025 shakes out for Francisco Alvarez.
Here are more 2025 Mets player projections.
