The New York Mets are projected to secure approximately 90 to 94 wins during the 2025 regular season. This estimate aligns with various expert analyses and betting lines, which set the Mets’ over/under win total at 90.5 games. Projections from ESPN also anticipate a 90-72 record for the Mets, reflecting a 73.5% chance of making the playoffs.
Several factors contribute to these optimistic projections. The Mets made a significant offseason acquisition by signing star outfielder Juan Soto to a record-breaking 15-year, $765 million contract. Soto’s addition enhances an already potent lineup featuring Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso, providing the Mets with a formidable offensive core. This bolstered lineup is expected to generate substantial run support throughout the season.
However, the Mets face challenges, particularly concerning their pitching staff. Injuries to key pitchers such as Sean Manaea and Frankie Montas have raised concerns about the rotation’s depth and consistency. The team’s ability to manage these setbacks and maintain effective pitching performances will be crucial in determining their overall success.
Furthermore, the National League East is highly competitive, with strong contenders like the Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies. The Mets’ performance in divisional matchups will significantly influence their final win total.While the enhanced lineup positions them well, overcoming pitching uncertainties and navigating a challenging division are essential for the Mets to achieve or surpass the projected 90 to 94 wins.
